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Fantini points to land-based examples like Red Rock Resorts and Monarch Casino as companies that can still attract capital because they offer sensible growth and strong management. That is a telling comparison with the industry’s recent past.

London’s problems are real. Entain’s removal from the FTSE 100 and Flutter’s move away from its London primary listing are evidence of that. But Flutter’s experience in New York shows that changing the listing does not remove the pressure.

The deeper change is global.

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While sports event contracts are currently the tentpole category for the prediction market industry, data indicate bettors and traders are embracing other categories.

Fullstory points out that while 62% of consumers have dabbled in sports event contracts, 42% traded economic or financial derivatives on a prediction market while a comparable percentage transacted in an election or political event contract. More than a quarter traded at least one entertainment or pop culture derivative.

That widening breadth is vital for the industry at a time when some analysts estimate volume could jump to $10 trillion by 2035 – a projection that is largely rooted in other categories surpassing sports for the top spot.  

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“When we started this journey, my only vision was: ‘Let’s not be writing code in August,’” Grenstad says.

Cubeia set out to remove coding as the constraint on software development, but in doing so, the company has discovered that coding was only one constraint in a much larger system. As the bottleneck moves, so do the demands on the organisation: towards domain knowledge, product thinking, quality, prioritisation and understanding what customers need.

The technology itself has therefore become less important to the story.